Match Info

League One - Round 27

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: ZLX Stadium (Hamilton)


	Hamilton Academical		Montrose

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.63
	2.3	3.2	2.65
	2.25	3.45	2.82
	2.35	3.78	2.68
	2.14	3.76	2.97	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.8
	2.36	3.56	2.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.3)	3.49 ↑ (3.46)	2.76 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
40.3%

Draw
26.3%

Montrose
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26.4%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

28.1%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Academical has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Montrose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hamilton Academical - Montrose Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hamilton will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamilton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Lane J. (G) 30. Gallacher T. 5. Smutek K. 4. Kilday L. 33. Hendrie S. 16. MacDonald K. 20. Forrest C. 27. McKinstry S. 21. Crookston G. 7. O'Hara K. 9. Shaw O.	1. Sharp H. (G) 2. Williamson R. 14. Dillon S. 3. Steeves A. 20. Bertie K. 12. Freeman K. 15. Stevenson G. 8. Sandilands C. 6. Masson T. 11. Lyons B. 10. Sutherland T.
Substitutes
28. Black B. 32. Eadie A. 2. Hutton A. 18. Morgan L. 49. Shiels D. 19. Simpson E. 51. Stafford N. (G) 34. Syme M.	22. Brown C. 21. Campbell M. (G) 17. Gibson L. 18. Glasgow E. 16. North T. 4. Quinn A. 5. Waddell K. 7. Webster G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', McKinstry S. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Freeman K. ⚽, Sutherland T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Masson T. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
46', Crookston G. ↓, Simpson E. ↑,
46', Forrest C. ↓, Black B. ↑,
53', Stevenson G. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Kilday L. ⚽, Shaw O. (A),
75', Stevenson G. ↓, North T. ↑,
75', Lyons B. ↓, Gibson L. ↑,
75', Steeves A. ↓, Webster G. ↑,
84', Bertie K. ↓, Quinn A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamilton won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Hamilton will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hamilton won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 2.2:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hamilton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Hamilton: 13.09% Montrose: 1.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hamilton	8	7	1	0	18:2	16	22
4	Montrose	9	5	0	4	13:14	-1	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish League One
21.02.26	Alloa Athletic - Hamilton Academical	3:0 ✺
17.02.26	Hamilton Academical - East Fife	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Hamilton Academical - Inverness	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Kelty Hearts - Hamilton Academical	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Hamilton Academical - Cove Rangers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLTW
- Montrose FC
Scottish League One
21.02.26	Montrose - Queen of the South	3:2 ✺
17.02.26	Cove Rangers - Montrose	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Stenhousemuir - Montrose	2:2 ✺
10.02.26	Montrose - Peterhead	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	East Fife - Montrose	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
18.10.25	Montrose - Hamilton Academical	0:4
02.08.25	Hamilton Academical - Montrose	2:0
20.04.24	Montrose - Hamilton Academical	1:2
27.01.24	Hamilton Academical - Montrose	1:1
28.10.23	Montrose - Hamilton Academical	0:3
26.08.23	Hamilton Academical - Montrose	1:0

Upcoming Matches