Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Moratalaz		Alcorcón B

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.8	2.2
	3.55	2.88	1.92
	3.55	2.95	1.97
	3.91	2.98	1.92
	3.7	3.28	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (4.08)	2.98 ↓ (3.24)	1.99 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moratalaz
25%

Draw
30.1%

Alcorcón B
44.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.2%

28%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

22.5%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moratalaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Alcorcón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moratalaz than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moratalaz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcorcón B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Moratalaz - Alcorcón B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moratalaz won 0.

Moratalaz is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alcorcón B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcorcón B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alcorcón B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Moratalaz won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Moratalaz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ED Moratalaz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.02.22	Las Rozas - Moratalaz	3:0 ✺
12.02.22	Moratalaz - Atlético Madrid B	0:2 ✺
09.02.22	Moratalaz - Complutense Alcalá	1:0 ✺
09.02.22	Torrejón - Moratalaz	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Colonia Moscardó - Moratalaz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL
- Alcorcón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.02.22	Alcorcón B - Villaviciosa de Odón	3:1 ✺
09.02.22	Tres Cantos - Alcorcón B	1:4 ✺
09.02.22	Alcorcón B - Galapagar	0:2 ✺
05.02.22	Alcorcón B - Villaverde San Andrés	2:1 ✺
30.01.22	Trival Valderas - Alcorcón B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
24.10.21	Alcorcón B - Moratalaz	6:1
Club Friendly
14.08.21	Alcorcón B - Moratalaz	3:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
09.05.21	Alcorcón B - Moratalaz	0:1
18.04.21	Moratalaz - Alcorcón B	1:0
01.03.20	Moratalaz - Alcorcón B	1:0
13.10.19	Alcorcón B - Moratalaz	3:0

Moratalaz - Alcorcón B

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Moratalaz - Alcorcón B Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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