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Current Win Probability
Trival Valderas 44.9%
Draw 29.1%
Alcorcón B 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.4%
29%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.2%
25.2%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trival Valderas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Alcorcón B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trival Valderas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Pascual D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Antwi D. M. (Own goal),
58', 2 - 1, Kone S. (Own goal),
90+2', 2 - 2, Cornelie N. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trival Valderas won 3.
Trival Valderas has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Alcorcón B's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Trival Valderas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Trival Valderas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Trival Valderas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Trival Valderas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
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