Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday


	Moratalaz		Carabanchel

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	4.8
	1.85	3.25	3.35
	1.78	3.3	3.8
	1.85	3.41	3.58
	1.83	3.38	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.63)	3.37 ↓ (3.59)	3.93 ↓ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moratalaz
50.4%

Draw
26.7%

Carabanchel
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25.2%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

16%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moratalaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moratalaz's form might have worsened.

Carabanchel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moratalaz than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moratalaz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carabanchel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Moratalaz - Carabanchel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Moratalaz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Moratalaz is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Moratalaz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Moratalaz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ED Moratalaz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.01.22	Rayo Vallecano B - Moratalaz	4:1 ✺
23.01.22	Moratalaz - Paracuellos Antamira	0:2 ✺
09.01.22	Moratalaz - Alcalá	1:3 ✺
08.12.21	Villaverde San Andrés - Moratalaz	1:2 ✺
04.12.21	Moratalaz - Trival Valderas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWT
- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.01.22	Carabanchel - Villaviciosa de Odón	2:2 ✺
16.01.22	Carabanchel - Villaverde San Andrés	0:2 ✺
19.12.21	CDE Madrid - Carabanchel	2:5 ✺
12.12.21	Carabanchel - Getafe B	1:2 ✺
08.12.21	Tres Cantos - Carabanchel	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.09.21	Carabanchel - Moratalaz	0:1
19.01.20	Carabanchel - Moratalaz	2:1
01.09.19	Moratalaz - Carabanchel	0:2

Moratalaz - Carabanchel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide