Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Tres Cantos		Carabanchel

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.25	1.85
	4	3.4	1.85
	3.98	3.44	1.83	Watch
	3.9	3.1	1.85
	3.99	3.46	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (3.33)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)	1.85 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tres Cantos
23.2%

Draw
27.5%

Carabanchel
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

29.5%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

28.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tres Cantos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Carabanchel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carabanchel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tres Cantos than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (-5%)

Tres Cantos - Carabanchel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Cantero Sanchez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tres Cantos won 2.

Tres Cantos is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Carabanchel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Carabanchel might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tres Cantos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tres Cantos won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Tres Cantos - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 27.47%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDF Tres Cantos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
08.03.26	Móstoles URJC - Tres Cantos	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Tres Cantos - San Sebastian Reyes B	0:6 ✺
22.02.26	Racing Madrid - Tres Cantos	4:2 ✺
15.02.26	Tres Cantos - Las Rozas	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Unión Adarve - Tres Cantos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLLW
- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
08.03.26	Galapagar - Carabanchel	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Carabanchel - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Carabanchel - Racing Madrid	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Las Rozas - Carabanchel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.11.25	Carabanchel - Tres Cantos	0:0
23.02.25	Tres Cantos - Carabanchel	2:1
13.10.24	Carabanchel - Tres Cantos	1:0
10.04.22	Carabanchel - Tres Cantos	3:1
08.12.21	Tres Cantos - Carabanchel	3:2
21.10.18	Tres Cantos - Carabanchel	1:1

Tres Cantos - Carabanchel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide