Match Info

Date: 27 March 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Moratalaz		Ursaria

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Moratalaz
25.1%

Draw
31.4%

Ursaria
43.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.6%

31%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

32%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moratalaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moratalaz than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Moratalaz is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ursaria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moratalaz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ursaria will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Moratalaz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ED Moratalaz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
20.03.22	Parla - Moratalaz	0:1 ✺
16.03.22	Moratalaz - CDE Madrid	0:1 ✺
13.03.22	Getafe B - Moratalaz	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Moratalaz - Tres Cantos	1:3 ✺
02.03.22	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Moratalaz	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLL
- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
20.03.22	Ursaria - Villaviciosa de Odón	1:0 ✺
13.03.22	Ursaria - Villaverde San Andrés	0:1 ✺
06.03.22	Trival Valderas - Ursaria	2:1 ✺
27.02.22	Torrejón - Ursaria	1:0 ✺
23.02.22	Ursaria - Colonia Moscardó	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLW

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
28.11.21	Ursaria - Moratalaz	1:1

Moratalaz - Ursaria