Match Info

Date: 2 March 2022, Wednesday


	Pozuelo de Alarcón		Moratalaz

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1
	1.93	2.95	3.4
	2.1	2.95	3.15
	2.12	2.98	3.28
	2.11	3.18	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.04)	3.01 ↓ (3.02)	3.25 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pozuelo de Alarcón
42.9%

Draw
29.7%

Moratalaz
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

29.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

19.9%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pozuelo de Alarcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Moratalaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pozuelo de Alarcón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moratalaz than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moratalaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pozuelo de Alarcón - Moratalaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pozuelo de Alarcón won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Pozuelo de Alarcón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pozuelo de Alarcón will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Pozuelo de Alarcón won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Pozuelo de Alarcón won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Pozuelo de Alarcón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
27.02.22	Atlético Madrid B - Pozuelo de Alarcón	2:0 ✺
20.02.22	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Colonia Moscardó	3:0 ✺
16.02.22	Carabanchel - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:0 ✺
12.02.22	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Rayo Vallecano B	0:2 ✺
05.02.22	Paracuellos Antamira - Pozuelo de Alarcón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWTLT
- ED Moratalaz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
27.02.22	Galapagar - Moratalaz	3:2 ✺
23.02.22	Villaviciosa de Odón - Moratalaz	1:2 ✺
20.02.22	Moratalaz - Alcorcón B	2:1 ✺
16.02.22	Las Rozas - Moratalaz	3:0 ✺
12.02.22	Moratalaz - Atlético Madrid B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.09.21	Moratalaz - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:0
17.02.21	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Moratalaz	0:1
25.10.20	Moratalaz - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:0
02.02.20	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Moratalaz	3:3
15.09.19	Moratalaz - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:1

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