Match Info

Date: 16 April 2022, Saturday


	Moratalaz		Villaviciosa de Odón

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5
	1.54	3.5	5
	1.57	3.55	5.14
	1.59	3.52	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.88)	3.54 ↑ (3.05)	5.22 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moratalaz
57.5%

Draw
25.3%

Villaviciosa de Odón
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

28.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moratalaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moratalaz's performance.

Villaviciosa de Odón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villaviciosa de Odón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moratalaz than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moratalaz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villaviciosa de Odón than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villaviciosa de Odón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Moratalaz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villaviciosa de Odón is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moratalaz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moratalaz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Moratalaz won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ED Moratalaz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.04.22	Moratalaz - Villaverde San Andrés	1:2 ✺
03.04.22	Trival Valderas - Moratalaz	1:3 ✺
27.03.22	Moratalaz - Ursaria	0:0 ✺
20.03.22	Parla - Moratalaz	0:1 ✺
16.03.22	Moratalaz - CDE Madrid	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWTWL
- AD Villaviciosa de Odón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
14.04.22	Torrejón - Villaviciosa de Odón	3:3 ✺
03.04.22	Villaverde San Andrés - Villaviciosa de Odón	1:3 ✺
27.03.22	Villaviciosa de Odón - Trival Valderas	0:1 ✺
20.03.22	Ursaria - Villaviciosa de Odón	1:0 ✺
16.03.22	Villaviciosa de Odón - Parla	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
23.02.22	Villaviciosa de Odón - Moratalaz	1:2

Moratalaz - Villaviciosa de Odón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide