Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday


	Moravia Morawica		KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski

	1	X	2
	5.50	3.75	1.50
	5.3	3.85	1.49
	5.07	3.93	1.48
	5.32	4.09	1.51	Watch
	4.95	3.85	1.45
	5.93	3.96	1.47	Watch
	4.9	3.77	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (4.9)	3.89 ↑ (3.77)	1.49 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moravia Morawica
16.9%

Draw
23%

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

23.5%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

22.5%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moravia Morawica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moravia Morawica than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Moravia Morawica - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Gorski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
88', 0 - 2, Czajkowski P. ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 3, Obedient J. ⚽,
90+7', 0 - 4, Majewski M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4).

Moravia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ostrowiec is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Moravia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ostrowiec is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	11	5	5	1	16:9	7	20
17	Moravia Morawica	11	2	2	7	13:22	-9	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moravia Morawica
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
22.08.26	Wisła II Kraków - Moravia Morawica	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Moravia Morawica - Naprzód Jędrzejów	4:2 ✺
15.08.26	Moravia Morawica - Chełmianka Chełm	0:3 ✺
02.08.26	Moravia Morawica - Wiślanie Skawina	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	JKS Jarosław - Moravia Morawica	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL
- KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
23.08.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Wiślanie Skawina - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	2:2 ✺
14.08.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Korona Kielce 2	3:2 ✺
09.08.26	Star Starachowice - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWTW

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