Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Moravia Morawica		KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski

	1	X	2
	5.50	3.75	1.50
	5.3	3.85	1.49
	5.07	3.93	1.48
	5.32	4.09	1.51	Watch
	4.95	3.85	1.45
	5.93	3.96	1.47	Watch
	4.9	3.77	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (4.9)	3.89 ↑ (3.77)	1.49 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Moravia Morawica
16.9%

Draw
23%

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
60.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.1%

23.5%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

22%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moravia Morawica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moravia Morawica than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Moravia Morawica - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Gorski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
88', 0 - 2, Czajkowski P. ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 3, Obedient J. ⚽,
90+7', 0 - 4, Majewski M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4).

Moravia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ostrowiec is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Moravia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ostrowiec is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	14	8	5	1	26:11	15	29
17	Moravia Morawica	15	3	3	9	19:26	-7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moravia Morawica
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
22.08.26	Wisła II Kraków - Moravia Morawica	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Moravia Morawica - Naprzód Jędrzejów	4:2 ✺
15.08.26	Moravia Morawica - Chełmianka Chełm	0:3 ✺
02.08.26	Moravia Morawica - Wiślanie Skawina	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	JKS Jarosław - Moravia Morawica	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL
- KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
23.08.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Wiślanie Skawina - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	2:2 ✺
14.08.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Korona Kielce 2	3:2 ✺
09.08.26	Star Starachowice - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWTW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moravia Morawica
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
30.10.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Moravia Morawica	✺
- KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
31.10.26	Wisłoka Dębica - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	✺

Moravia Morawica - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski