Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL QUEENSLAND - ROUND 7

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Moreton Bay United		Sunshine Coast Wanderers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	4	3.8
	1.6	3.55	4.5
	1.74	3.85	4.39
	2	3.7	2.9
	1.67	4.1	4.1
	1.73	3.95	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.07)	3.86 ↑ (3.8)	3.9 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreton Bay United
52.7%

Draw
23.8%

Sunshine Coast Wanderers
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

23.9%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

23.5%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreton Bay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moreton Bay United's performance.

Sunshine Coast Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sunshine Coast Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreton Bay United than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moreton Bay United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunshine Coast Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunshine Coast Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Moreton Bay United - Sunshine Coast Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: ) and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moreton Bay won 2.

Moreton Bay is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sunshine Coast Wanderers is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Sunshine Coast Wanderers have a series of home games.

Moreton Bay will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Moreton Bay won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Moreton Bay won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreton Bay United
Australian NPL Queensland
08.04.23	Redlands United - Moreton Bay United	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Gold Coast United - Moreton Bay United	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Moreton Bay United - Eastern Suburbs	5:2 ✺
11.03.23	Gold Coast Knights - Moreton Bay United	2:2 ✺
05.03.23	Moreton Bay United - Rochedale Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWTW
- Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Australian NPL Queensland
09.04.23	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Eastern Suburbs	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Gold Coast Knights - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Rochedale Rovers	1:0 ✺
14.03.23	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Olympic FC	3:2 ✺
04.03.23	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Queensland Lions	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
07.06.22	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Moreton Bay United	2:2
03.05.22	Moreton Bay United - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	0:0
10.10.21	Moreton Bay United - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	6:3
04.05.21	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Moreton Bay United	3:1
20.09.20	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Moreton Bay United	1:2
17.02.20	Moreton Bay United - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	4:2

Moreton Bay United - Sunshine Coast Wanderers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide