Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL QUEENSLAND - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday


	Gold Coast Knights		Moreton Bay United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.97	5.95
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.41	4.65	6.15	Watch
	1.44	4.3	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.82)	4.53 ↑ (3.6)	6.1 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gold Coast Knights
64.6%

Draw
20.3%

Moreton Bay United
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

25.1%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

24.5%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gold Coast Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gold Coast Knights's performance.

Moreton Bay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moreton Bay United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Knights than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gold Coast Knights that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreton Bay United than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moreton Bay United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gold Coast Knights - Moreton Bay United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gold Coast Knights won 2.

Gold Coast Knights is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Moreton Bay is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Gold Coast Knights is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Gold Coast Knights won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Gold Coast Knights won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gold Coast Knights
Australian NPL Queensland
08.09.23	Gold Coast Knights - Peninsula Power	5:0 ✺
Australian Cup
30.08.23	Gold Coast Knights - Western United	0:2 ✺
Australian NPL Queensland
26.08.23	Rochedale Rovers - Gold Coast Knights	1:2 ✺
20.08.23	Olympic FC - Gold Coast Knights	2:4 ✺
13.08.23	Gold Coast Knights - Queensland Lions	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWT
- Moreton Bay United
Australian NPL Queensland
09.09.23	Moreton Bay United - Brisbane City	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Queensland Lions - Moreton Bay United	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Moreton Bay United - Peninsula Power	0:1 ✺
13.08.23	Brisbane Roar Youth - Moreton Bay United	0:3 ✺
Australian Cup
10.08.23	Moreton Bay United - Heidelberg United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
17.06.23	Moreton Bay United - Gold Coast Knights	1:1
11.03.23	Gold Coast Knights - Moreton Bay United	2:2
20.08.22	Gold Coast Knights - Moreton Bay United	0:2
16.07.22	Moreton Bay United - Gold Coast Knights	0:2
04.09.21	Gold Coast Knights - Moreton Bay United	3:1
22.05.21	Moreton Bay United - Gold Coast Knights	0:3
10.10.20	Moreton Bay United - Gold Coast Knights	4:2

Gold Coast Knights - Moreton Bay United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide