Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion Topolica (Bar)

Referee: Jones A. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Montenegro	TVCG 3


	Mornar Bar		Atlètic Escaldes

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	5.5	Watch
	1.49	4.10	5.75	Watch
	1.55	3.95	5.4
	1.58	4.1	5.7
	1.65	4.05	4.77	Watch
	1.55	4.05	4.65
	1.58	4.09	5.63	Watch
	1.6	3.75	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (3.28)	4.01 ↑ (3.45)	5.35 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mornar Bar
59.4%

Draw
23.2%

Atlètic Escaldes
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

27.3%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mornar Bar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mornar Bar's performance.

Atlètic Escaldes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlètic Escaldes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	4.5%	9.1%

Mornar Bar - Atlètic Escaldes Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Mornar Bar will win (votes: 38 - 86.4%). Atlètic Escaldes will win (votes: 4 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mornar Bar: 76.3% – 96.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Mornar Bar (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (2.24) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Mornar Bar (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Mornar Bar (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mornar Bar will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Mornar Bar (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Krijestarac B. (G) 33. Stijepovic N. 15. Baosic J. 6. Martinovic I. 97. Vukcevic P. 17. Dasic J. 18. Zoric D. 4. Kaludjerovic A. (C) 11. Yao Y. 7. Denkovic S. 10. Skrijelj D.	1. Adri (G) 49. Gallego A. 15. Rodriguez S. 5. Chinchu 3. Blasco M. 14. Bouharma H. 6. da Silva Santos E. 10. Vieira N. (C) 11. Valero D. 7. Barragan J. 17. Sohaib B.
Substitutes
8. Djurisic M. 99. Dragovic V. 23. Dubljevic B. 30. Hajdarpasic E. 32. Ljutica V. 16. Mitrovic F. 21. Rovcanin M. 13. Stojanovic V. (G) 19. Vujnovic N. 14. Vukovic N.	8. Assoubre J. L. 30. Cano F. (G) 19. Didi 9. Morales B. 23. Olah K. (G) 20. Sanmarful J.
Coaches
Stesevic V.	Ibarra A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Dasic J. ⚽, Zoric D. (A),
25', Denkovic S. 🟨,
41', Vieira N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Bouharma H. ↓, Assoubre J. L. ↑,
50', Blasco M. 🟨,
63', Denkovic S. ↓, Rovcanin M. ↑,
64', Vukcevic P. 🟨,
64', Assoubre J. L. 🟨,
68', Barragan J. ↓, Morales B. ↑,
72', Zoric D. ↓, Vujnovic N. ↑,
72', Kaludjerovic A. ↓, Dubljevic B. ↑,
79', Sohaib B. ↓, Sanmarful J. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Valero D. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', 1 - 2, Valero D. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Valero D. ↓, Didi ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 1-2.

Mornar Bar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Recently, Mornar Bar has had a series of away games.

In this match, Mornar Bar is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mornar Bar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Mornar Bar - the odds 3.28 are the expected chance of winning is 28.77%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Mornar Bar
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Atlètic Escaldes - Mornar Bar	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.26	Mornar Bar - Petrovac	0:0 ✺
01.07.26	Zemun - Mornar Bar	1:2 ✺
Montenegrin Cup
28.05.26	Dečić Tuzi - Mornar Bar	0:1 ✺
Montenegrin First League
24.05.26	Jezero - Mornar Bar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTWWW
- Atlètic Escaldes
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Atlètic Escaldes - Mornar Bar	2:1 ✺
Andorra Cup
23.05.26	FC Santa Coloma - Atlètic Escaldes	2:3 ✺
Andorra Primera Divisio
17.05.26	Atlètic Escaldes - Penya Encarnada	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Inter Escaldes - Atlètic Escaldes	3:1 ✺
Andorra Cup
30.04.26	Atlètic Escaldes - Inter Escaldes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Atlètic Escaldes - Mornar Bar	2:1

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