The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dečić Tuzi 39.8%
Draw 30.2%
Mornar Bar 30%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34%
30.4%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
30.6%
35.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dečić Tuzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dečić Tuzi's performance.
Mornar Bar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mornar Bar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dečić Tuzi than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dečić Tuzi that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mornar Bar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dečić Tuzi - Mornar Bar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Radosevic D. (G) 16. Bozanovic M. 29. Braunovic N. 10. Djokaj M. 11. Djuranovic U. 22. Dresaj J. (C) 27. Kontic D. 15. Ljuljdjuraj P. 50. Mugosa J. 74. Pavlicevic P. 32. Radusinovic B.
1. Dubljevic R. (G) 15. Baosic J. (C) 17. Dasic J. 32. Ljutica V. 6. Martinovic I. 20. Medojevic N. 10. Skrijelj D. 9. Soussi A. 33. Stijepovic N. 97. Vukcevic P. 11. Yao Y.
Substitutes
14. Adzovic A. 8. Cetkovic A. 33. Dragojevic M. (G) 7. Gjolaj M. 72. Ivanovic P. 88. Jukovic M. 3. Lulgjuraj D. 23. Stanisavic S. 4. Vuljaj A.
3. Cukovic M. 5. Dakic D. 7. Denkovic S. 8. Djurisic M. 99. Dragovic V. 23. Dubljevic B. 21. Rovcanin M. 13. Stojanovic V. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Soussi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Medojevic N. ↓, Dragovic V. ↑,
46', Soussi A. ↓, Rovcanin M. ↑,
63', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
76', Skrijelj D. ↓, Djurisic M. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Mugosa J. ⚽,
87', 🟨,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 3rd and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dečić won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dečić has recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:13 (averaging 1.3:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dečić against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 17:6 goals (averaging 1.7:0.6 per game).