Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations Women - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Olympique de Rabat (Rabat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6
Canada	fubo Sports Network
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Morocco W		Algeria W

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.40	4.60
	1.62	3.3	4.9
	1.69	3.59	5.41
	1.68	3.61	5.05	Watch
	1.67	3.55	5.05
	1.65	3.48	4.84
	1.63	3.35	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.1)	3.47 ↑ (3.2)	4.95 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morocco W
55.2%

Draw
26.3%

Algeria W
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

29.1%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.8%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morocco W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Morocco W's performance.

Algeria W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Algeria W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morocco W than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morocco W that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeria W than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Algeria W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Morocco W - Algeria W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Errmichi K. (G) FAR Rabat 17. Ait El Haj H. (C) FAR Rabat 16. Atiq M. SE AEM 3. Benzina N. FAR Rabat 2. Redouani Z. FAR Rabat 21. Mrabet Y. K. Valencia 6. Nakkach E. Servette 19. Ouzraoui S. Costa Adeje Tenerife 26. Azraf K. Barcelona 11. Tagnaout F. FAR Rabat 9. Jraidi I.	16. N'Gazi C. (G) Montpellier 15. Khiri I. Yverdon 22. Smits L. Reims 4. Khezami R. Marseille 17. Belloumou I. West Ham 20. Ould Braham A. Trabzonspor 21. Dafeur M. (C) Bristol City 6. Bethi M. Nantes 11. Boussaha L. Al Ittihad 13. Bendris L. Cannes 12. Adjabi I. Le Havre
Substitutes
22. Arouaissa I. (G) 10. Badri N. FAR Rabat 4. Boukhami S. FAR Rabat 25. Boutiebi R. Club Brugge 8. Chapelle K. Le Mans 7. Chebbak G. 5. El Chad N. Lille 12. El Jebraoui F. (G) FAR Rabat 24. Hady S. 13. Mourtaji C. 23. Nassi J. Le Havre 14. Rabbah A. FAR Rabat 20. Saoud I. Nantes	25. Abadou L. Sion 5. Alouache W. 1207 Antalyaspor 18. Bekhaled S. Servette 23. Benaissa A. (G) Fleury 91 8. Bouzid W. Thonon Evian 2. D'oria M. Le Mans 1. Haleyi A. (G) 26. Hamideche A. Besiktas 24. Naili N. Cannes 10. Ournani K. 9. Taleb Muller L. Thonon Evian

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Ait El Haj H. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Azraf K. ⚽, Ait El Haj H. (A),
42', Bethi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bendris L. ↓, Alouache W. ↑,
55', Azraf K. 🟨,
68', Adjabi I. ↓, Bekhaled S. ↑,
76', Jraidi I. ↓, Nassi J. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Boussaha L. ⚽, Bekhaled S. (A),
86', Ait El Haj H. ↓, Boutiebi R. ↑,
86', Azraf K. ↓, Badri N. ↑,
90+5', Smits L. 🟨,
90+7', Benzina N. (Penalty Awarded),
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Dafeur M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Redouani Z. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Ould Braham A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, Bekhaled S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, Khezami R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Morocco is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Algeria has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Morocco is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Morocco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morocco W
Africa Cup of Nations Women
12.08.26	Morocco W - Cameroon W	0:1 penalties ✺
08.08.26	Morocco W - South Africa W	2:1 ✺
03.08.26	Senegal W - Morocco W	0:0 ✺
30.07.26	Morocco W - Algeria W	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Morocco W - Kenya W	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTWW
- Algeria W
Africa Cup of Nations Women
12.08.26	Algeria W - Malawi W	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	Ivory Coast W - Algeria W	1:2 ✺
03.08.26	Kenya W - Algeria W	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Morocco W - Algeria W	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Algeria W - Senegal W	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Women
30.07.26	Morocco W - Algeria W	1:0

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