Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 8 November 2023, Wednesday


	Moroka Swallows		TS Galaxy

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.95	3.2
	2.3	3	3.25	Watch
	2.36	2.96	3.67
	2.36	2.88	3.67
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.22	3.02	3.34
	2.26	3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.5)	2.97 ↑ (2.8)	3.38 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moroka Swallows
41%

Draw
31.4%

TS Galaxy
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moroka Swallows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moroka Swallows's performance.

TS Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moroka Swallows than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moroka Swallows that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TS Galaxy than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TS Galaxy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	71.4%	0%

Moroka Swallows - TS Galaxy Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Moroka Swallows will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Akpeyi D. (G) 27. Phillips K. 24. Sibiya V. 4. Allan K. 66. Sam B. 72. Makhubela N. 15. Jali A. 8. Phalane L. 10. Mtshali L. 9. Mabasa T. 26. Malinga K.	16. Ntwali F. (G) 23. Munyai M. 4. Mahlangu M. 3. Sanoka P. 12. Khiba T. 2. Mvelase M. 8. Mbunjana M. 21. Sebelebele K. 20. Vidal H. 11. Mahlangu S. 27. Mojela L. B.
Substitutes
19. Falakhe T. 21. Khumalo S. P. 25. Maponya T. 31. Mbanjwa T. (G) 11. Mhango G. 6. Mthethwa T. 17. Rampa M. 2. Sibiya S.	31. Gabuza T. 32. Kolak V. (G) 35. Mbatha L. 30. Mere V. 7. Mongae O. 9. Nurkovic S. 14. Radebe N. 19. Rakwena T. 45. Seema L.
Coaches
Komphela S.	Ramovic S.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moroka Swallows won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Moroka Swallows could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moroka Swallows will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Moroka Swallows won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Moroka Swallows won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moroka Swallows
South African Knockout
22.10.23	Richards Bay - Moroka Swallows	2:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
04.10.23	Moroka Swallows - Chippa United	0:0 ✺
29.09.23	Moroka Swallows - AmaZulu	2:1 ✺
19.09.23	Stellenbosch - Moroka Swallows	0:2 ✺
15.09.23	Moroka Swallows - Richards Bay	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWWL
- TS Galaxy
South African Knockout
04.11.23	Sekhukhune United - TS Galaxy	0:1 penalties ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
01.11.23	TS Galaxy - Supersport United	2:3 ✺
29.10.23	TS Galaxy - Sekhukhune United	2:0 ✺
South African Knockout
18.10.23	TS Galaxy - Mamelodi Sundowns	3:2 penalties ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
04.10.23	Stellenbosch - TS Galaxy	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
15.01.23	Moroka Swallows - TS Galaxy	0:0
08.10.22	TS Galaxy - Moroka Swallows	0:0
19.02.22	Moroka Swallows - TS Galaxy	0:1
21.11.21	TS Galaxy - Moroka Swallows	1:0
02.03.21	TS Galaxy - Moroka Swallows	2:1
21.11.20	Moroka Swallows - TS Galaxy	0:0
South African First Division
16.10.19	Moroka Swallows - TS Galaxy	1:2

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