Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 7

Date: 19 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Danie Craven Stadium (Stellenbosch)


	Stellenbosch		Moroka Swallows

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.25	Watch
	2.43	2.9	3.46
	2.35	2.9	3
	2.34	2.99	3.2
	2.33	3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.25)	2.96 ↓ (3.1)	3.21 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stellenbosch
39.6%

Draw
31.5%

Moroka Swallows
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

29.3%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

30.9%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stellenbosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Moroka Swallows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stellenbosch than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moroka Swallows than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	40%	10%

Stellenbosch - Moroka Swallows Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stellenbosch will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Moroka Swallows will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stellenbosch: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Stephens S. (C) 2. Mphahlele M. 26. Mcaba A. 45. Toure O. 22. Sibande Q. 34. Titus D. 28. Palace G. 8. Nduli S. 10. Mgaga N. 9. Rayners I. 18. De Jong A.	16. Akpeyi D. (G) 27. Phillips K. 45. Mngonyama K. 24. Sibiya V. 66. Sam B. 72. Makhubela N. 8. Phalane L. 15. Jali A. 10. Mtshali L. 9. Mabasa T. 11. Mhango G.
Substitutes
23. Adams J. 19. Boji M. 33. De Kock L. 27. Jurgens K. 30. Masuluke O. (G) 6. Mthethwa S. 14. Oura A. A. 20. Sekgota K. 29. van Wyk A.	19. Falakhe T. 26. Malinga K. 25. Maponyane W. 31. Mbanjwa T. (G) 6. Mthethwa T. 7. Patjie T. 34. Sait J. 47. Wambi M. 42. Zuma D.
Coaches
Barker S.	Komphela S.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stellenbosch won 3.

Stellenbosch is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Moroka Swallows is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stellenbosch could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Stellenbosch won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Stellenbosch won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stellenbosch FC
South African Premier Soccer League
16.09.23	Lamontville Golden Arrows - Stellenbosch	0:0 ✺
South African MTN 8 Cup
03.09.23	Stellenbosch - Orlando Pirates	1:2 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
30.08.23	Stellenbosch - Kaizer Chiefs	0:2 ✺
26.08.23	Stellenbosch - Supersport United	1:2 ✺
18.08.23	Royal AM - Stellenbosch	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLLLW
- Moroka Swallows
South African Premier Soccer League
15.09.23	Moroka Swallows - Richards Bay	0:1 ✺
30.08.23	Moroka Swallows - Cape Town Spurs	3:1 ✺
16.08.23	Sekhukhune United - Moroka Swallows	1:2 ✺
South African MTN 8 Cup
12.08.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Moroka Swallows	1:0 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
09.08.23	Moroka Swallows - Cape Town City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
22.04.23	Stellenbosch - Moroka Swallows	3:0
South African Nedbank Cup
11.02.23	Stellenbosch - Moroka Swallows	3:0
South African Premier Soccer League
10.09.22	Moroka Swallows - Stellenbosch	1:2
16.02.22	Stellenbosch - Moroka Swallows	1:1
17.10.21	Moroka Swallows - Stellenbosch	1:1
18.05.21	Moroka Swallows - Stellenbosch	0:0
25.10.20	Stellenbosch - Moroka Swallows	1:1

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