Match Info

BRAZIL: GOIANO - ROUND 7

Date: 7 February 2024, Wednesday


	Morrinhos		Goiás

	1	X	2
	6.75	3.9	1.42
	8	4	1.42
	6.1	3.75	1.39
	7.8	4.1	1.4
	6.5	3.7	1.44
	7.9	4.2	1.4
	7.2	3.9	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.18 ↑ (5.09)	3.94 ↑ (3.8)	1.41 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morrinhos
12.6%

Draw
23%

Goiás
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

23.8%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

23.3%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morrinhos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morrinhos's form might have worsened.

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Goiás's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morrinhos than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Morrinhos - Goiás Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Marcos Daniel (G) 7. Chico 5. Cristian 19. Dede 8. de Oliveira R. 4. Luciano 9. Nathan 2. Rian 6. Romulo Silva 11. Roniel 3. Talis (C)	23. Tadeu (C) 11. Allano 18. Breno Herculano 6. Cristiano 20. Diego 4. Edu 5. Jhonny Lucas 14. Nathan Melo 7. Paulo Baya 2. Weverton 3. Yan Souto
Substitutes
16. Alisson Carius 13. Daniel 22. Guilherme 1. Hudson (G) 20. Jackson Vinicius 14. Janelson 18. Jeferson 15. Lucas Guida 23. Marcus Cauan (G) 17. Pablo 21. Sandrinho	13. Anthony 26. Denzel 19. Diego Caito 15. Eduardo Simioni 9. Getulio 8. Juninho 16. Luiz Henrique 22. Matheusinho 17. Pedro Junqueira 21. Rea M. 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 10. Torres I.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Goiano 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Morrinhos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Goiás is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Goiás is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Morrinhos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Morrinhos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morrinhos FC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
04.02.24	Jataiense - Morrinhos	2:2 ✺
31.01.24	Iporá - Morrinhos	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Morrinhos - Goianésia	0:1 ✺
24.01.24	Morrinhos - Goiânia	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Goiatuba - Morrinhos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLTL
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
04.02.24	Goiás - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
31.01.24	Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano - Goiás	0:2 ✺
27.01.24	Aparecidense - Goiás	1:1 ✺
24.01.24	Goiás - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Atlético Goianiense - Goiás	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
15.02.23	Morrinhos - Goiás	1:3
17.02.22	Goiás - Morrinhos	2:0
06.02.22	Morrinhos - Goiás	1:1

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