Match Info

Serie B - Round 8

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT, Disney+, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Goiás		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.7	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	2.15	3	3.5	Watch
	2.22	3.02	3.92
	2.15	3.07	3.67
	2.15	2.9	3.5
	2.15	2.97	3.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.14)	3.02 ↓ (3.09)	3.62 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
43.4%

Draw
30.8%

Vila Nova
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.9%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.6%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Goiás - Vila Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vila Nova: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Goiás (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Goiás (votes: 2 - 50%). Vila Nova (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (C) 2. Rodrigo Soares 14. Lucas Ribeiro 4. Ramon Menezes 54. Djalma Silva 35. Luquinhas 55. Baldoria 28. Gege 10. Lucas Lima 21. Jean Carlos 40. Kadu	1. Helton Leite (G) 22. Hayner 3. Tiago Pagnussat 14. Anderson Jesus 6. Higor 15. Dudu 5. Joao Vieira 11. Ryan 10. Marquinhos Gabriel (C) 99. Janderson 49. Dellatorre
Substitutes
9. Anselmo Ramon 88. Brayann 11. Bruno Savio 66. Danilo Cunha 20. Diego Caito 5. Filipe Machado 15. Garcia E. 8. Juninho 97. Lourenco 25. Luisao 3. Luiz Felipe 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G)	33. Bruno Xavier 38. Caio Marcelo 29. Dalberson (G) 21. Dodo 2. Elias 18. Enzo Bizzotto 19. Gustavo Puskas 20. Nathan Camargo 17. Ruan Ribeiro 23. Samuel Lucas 13. Willian Formiga 8. Willian Maranhao
Coaches
Daniel Paulista	Guto Ferreira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Hayner ↓, Elias ↑,
36', Lucas Ribeiro 🟨,
40', Ramon Menezes 🟨,
45+1', Janderson 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dudu ↓, Enzo Bizzotto ↑,
54', Baldoria 🟨,
60', Jean Carlos ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
60', Kadu ↓, Anselmo Ramon ↑,
60', Baldoria ↓, Lourenco ↑,
66', Higor ↓, Willian Formiga ↑,
67', Joao Vieira 🟨,
67', Ramon Menezes 🟨,
70', Lucas Lima ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
78', Djalma Silva ↓, Diego Caito ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Anselmo Ramon ⚽, Diego Caito (A),
86', Enzo Bizzotto ↓, Nathan Camargo ↑,
86', Janderson ↓, Ruan Ribeiro ↑,
90+5', Rodrigo Soares 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 1.

Goiás has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vila Nova is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vila Nova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Goiás is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Goiás: Nicolas (Red Card)

There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso (Inactive)

There are questionable in Goiás: Cadu (Injury) Lourenco (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Goiás won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 0.9:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Vila Nova FC	32	17	7	8	44:31	13	58
11	Goias	32	13	6	13	32:40	-8	45

Last Results with these Odds

Goiás - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.21%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
02.05.26	Fortaleza - Goiás	4:1 ✺
26.04.26	São Bernardo - Goiás	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Goiás - Cruzeiro	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
19.04.26	Goiás - Cuiabá	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Juventude - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLL
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
04.05.26	Vila Nova - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
29.04.26	Araguaína - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.26	Ceará - Vila Nova	3:3 ✺
18.04.26	Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
15.04.26	Vila Nova - Capital CF Ltda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
01.02.26	Goiás - Vila Nova	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
16.08.25	Vila Nova - Goiás	2:0
17.04.25	Goiás - Vila Nova	2:2
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
16.03.25	Vila Nova - Goiás	0:0
09.03.25	Goiás - Vila Nova	0:1
02.02.25	Vila Nova - Goiás	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
13.10.24	Goiás - Vila Nova	0:1

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