The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mortágua 44.5%
Draw 27.9%
SB Castelo Branco 27.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.3%
29%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mortágua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mortágua's performance.
SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Mortágua - SB Castelo Branco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mortágua won 0.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Mortágua has recorded 0 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:12 (averaging 0.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mortágua against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Mortagua
6
4
1
1
11:5
6
13
6
SB Castelo Branco
6
3
0
3
9:12
-3
9
Last Results with these Odds
Mortágua - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 38.35%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.