PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 18
Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday
Mortágua
Alcains
1
X
2
1.71
3.26
5.08
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.71 ↓ (1.86)
3.26 ↑ (3.13)
5.08 ↑ (4.06)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mortágua 53.7%
Draw 28.2%
Alcains 18.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.7%
29%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
24.5%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mortágua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Alcains has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mortágua that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcains than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcains could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mortágua - Alcains Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Cotel A. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 2, Rianco J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).
Both teams are in bad shape now.
In this match Mortágua is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Mortágua won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:10 (average 0.8:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Mortágua won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).
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