Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Mosconia		Avilés Stadium

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	6.1
	1.43	4.22	6.7
	1.11	8.07	18.63	Watch
	1.39	4.05	7.42
	1.54	3.75	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	4.8 ↑ (4)	8.85 ↑ (6.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mosconia
69.2%

Draw
19.9%

Avilés Stadium
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22.7%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

22.4%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mosconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mosconia's performance.

Avilés Stadium has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mosconia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avilés Stadium than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Mosconia - Avilés Stadium Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Mosconia is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mosconia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Mosconia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mosconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
09.11.25	Llanera - Mosconia	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Mosconia - Real Titánico	5:0 ✺
26.10.25	Llanes - Mosconia	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Mosconia - Sporting de Gijón B	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	LEntregu - Mosconia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLTW
- Avilés Stadium CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
09.11.25	Avilés Stadium - Ceares	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Caudal Deportivo - Avilés Stadium	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Avilés Stadium - Club Siero	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Navarro - Avilés Stadium	2:2 ✺
12.10.25	Avilés Stadium - Gijón Industrial	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
02.02.25	Avilés Stadium - Mosconia	1:3
22.09.24	Mosconia - Avilés Stadium	3:1
07.02.21	Avilés Stadium - Mosconia	0:0

Mosconia - Avilés Stadium: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide