Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 3 - GROUP 5 - ROUND 15

Date: 14 August 2023, Monday


	Mosjøen		Rosenborg II

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.25	4.8
	1.44	4.92	4.59
	1.42	5.45	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (3.33)	5.21 ↑ (4.33)	4.81 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mosjøen
63.8%

Draw
17.4%

Rosenborg II
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

20.7%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

19.9%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mosjøen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+36.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mosjøen's performance.

Rosenborg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-33.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosenborg II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosjøen than the current prediction. (-37.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mosjøen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg II than the current prediction. (+35.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosenborg II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Mosjøen - Rosenborg II Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Mosjøen will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Rosenborg II will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mosjøen: 76.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 9).

Recent matches Mosjøen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rosenborg II is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rosenborg II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mosjøen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mosjøen IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
06.08.23	Bodø Glimt 2 - Mosjøen	5:1 ✺
30.07.23	Mosjøen - Byåsen	2:5 ✺
22.07.23	Verdal - Mosjøen	4:2 ✺
24.06.23	Mosjøen - Nardo	3:1 ✺
16.06.23	Rosenborg II - Mosjøen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLLWW
- Rosenborg BK II
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
07.08.23	Rosenborg II - Kristiansund 2	0:4 ✺
31.07.23	Nardo - Rosenborg II	5:1 ✺
24.07.23	Rosenborg II - Tiller	0:2 ✺
26.06.23	Kolstad - Rosenborg II	0:3 ✺
16.06.23	Rosenborg II - Mosjøen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
16.06.23	Rosenborg II - Mosjøen	2:3

Mosjøen - Rosenborg II: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide