Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 6

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Melløs Stadion (Moss)

Referee: Holthe H. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Moss		Bryne

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.63
	2.35	3.5	2.82	Watch
	2.39	3.55	2.96
	2.53	3.39	2.68	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.7
	2.3	3.67	2.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.11)	3.48 ↓ (3.55)	2.76 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moss
39.6%

Draw
26.7%

Bryne
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

25.7%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25.2%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Bryne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moss than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bryne than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Moss - Bryne Predictions

Users Predictions: Moss will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksen M. (G) 2. Cassidy M. 5. Race E. 3. Strande K. (C) 16. Kvale W. 27. Prestmo S. 14. Musbaudeen J. 8. Vold Krohg H. 23. Hermanstad R. 20. Semmen N. 11. Jakobsen T.	1. Ree M. (G) 77. Pichkah P. 33. Hermansen A. 3. Wik P. A. 16. Gaye D. 8. Sodal L. (C) 19. Strunck N. 29. Lye M. 14. Molund A. 11. Scriven A. 18. Moreira D.
Substitutes
9. Aga O. 17. Andersen P. 21. Gronli S. 7. Laegreid J. 18. Marcus R. 19. Memedov A. 22. Ogbole J. 24. Olofsson W. 30. Skott-Grande M. (G)	12. de Boer J. (G) 4. Engedal F. J. 10. Haland K. 15. Hay K. 23. Motland D. 28. Ostrem J. 42. Tveit H.
Coaches
Nesselquist O. M.	Heiberg O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Hermansen A. ⚽, Strunck N. (A),
28', 0 - 2, Molund A. ⚽, Gaye D. (A),
28', Kvale W. 🟨,
30', 0 - 3, Moreira D. ⚽, Molund A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Musbaudeen J. ↓, Marcus R. ↑,
50', Lye M. ↓, Hay K. ↑,
55', Jakobsen T. 🟨,
64', Molund A. 🟨,
74', Gaye D. 🟨,
79', Eriksen M. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 3, Laegreid J. ⚽,
90+3', Ree M. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 3, Aga O. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moss won 3.

Recent performances by Moss have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bryne has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bryne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Moss won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Moss won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Bryne: 0.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Bryne	24	12	2	10	33:31	2	38
13	Moss	24	7	4	13	38:54	-16	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.05.26	Ranheim - Moss	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	Moss - Lyn	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Kongsvinger - Moss	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Moss - Hødd	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Åsane - Moss	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLWW
- Bryne FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.05.26	Bryne - Sogndal	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Bryne - Odd	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Egersund - Bryne	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Bryne - Ranheim	2:3 ✺
07.04.26	Kongsvinger - Bryne	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.09.24	Bryne - Moss	3:0
16.06.24	Moss - Bryne	1:0
23.08.23	Bryne - Moss	3:1
09.07.23	Moss - Bryne	2:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
22.09.19	Bryne - Moss	0:1
07.07.19	Moss - Bryne	2:3

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