Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 3

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Gjemselund Stadion (Kongsvinger)

Referee: Tennoy M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Kongsvinger		Moss

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.75	5.5
	1.46	4.75	5.7	Watch
	1.52	4.66	6.06
	1.39	5.15	6.7	Watch
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.47	4.8	5.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.71)	4.72 ↑ (4.09)	5.84 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kongsvinger
64.2%

Draw
19.8%

Moss
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

22.8%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

22.4%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kongsvinger's performance.

Moss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moss might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kongsvinger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moss than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moss could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Kongsvinger - Moss Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kongsvinger will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 17. Gjerstrom M. 12. Mbow M. 3. Norheim S. 2. Fors V. 27. Sande M. 23. Christensen F. 8. Dybevik A. (C) 28. Christiansen R. 22. Langrekken L. 11. Job D.	1. Eriksen M. (G) 5. Race E. 3. Strande K. (C) 4. Harrison K. 17. Andersen P. 18. Marcus R. 27. Prestmo S. 16. Kvale W. 11. Jakobsen T. 20. Semmen N. 7. Laegreid J.
Substitutes
1. Da Rocha W. (G) 29. Fjellman P. 18. Flores M. 6. Hansen A. 15. Lysell V. 5. Lysgard D. 7. Pajic E. 16. Udnaes P. 43. Wilhelmsen A.	9. Aga O. 26. Chidi E. 21. Gronli S. 23. Hermanstad R. 6. Lassen M. 19. Memedov A. 22. Ogbole J. 30. Skott-Grande M. (G) 8. Vold Krohg H.
Coaches
Vennberg J.	Nesselquist O. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Semmen N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Harrison K. ↓, Chidi E. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Christiansen R. ⚽,
62', Jakobsen T. ↓, Hermanstad R. ↑,
62', Andersen P. ↓, Vold Krohg H. ↑,
62', Marcus R. ↓, Gronli S. ↑,
66', Langrekken L. ↓, Lysell V. ↑,
71', Semmen N. ↓, Aga O. ↑,
72', Chidi E. 🟨,
75', Kvale W. 🟨,
76', Christiansen R. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Job D. ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, Hermanstad R. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kongsvinger won 2.

Kongsvinger is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Moss has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Moss has had a series of away games.

In this match, Kongsvinger is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Kongsvinger won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:14. (average 2.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kongsvinger won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:4. (average 3.4:0.8).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Kongsvinger: 29.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kongsvinger	24	16	5	3	70:35	35	53
13	Moss	24	7	4	13	38:54	-16	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.04.26	Raufoss - Kongsvinger	1:3 ✺
07.04.26	Kongsvinger - Bryne	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.03.26	Hammarby - Kongsvinger	3:3 ✺
21.03.26	Stabæk - Kongsvinger	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Kongsvinger - Strømmen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWTWL
- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
12.04.26	Moss - Hødd	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Åsane - Moss	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
29.03.26	Stabæk - Moss	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Lyn - Moss	3:1 ✺
13.03.26	Odd - Moss	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.10.25	Moss - Kongsvinger	2:4
21.04.25	Kongsvinger - Moss	6:0
01.12.24	Moss - Kongsvinger	3:2
16.09.24	Kongsvinger - Moss	0:0
20.07.24	Moss - Kongsvinger	1:0
12.11.23	Kongsvinger - Moss	1:2
25.06.23	Moss - Kongsvinger	0:1

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