Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 12

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Melløs Stadion (Moss)

Referee: Al Hatem A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Moss		Sandnes Ulf

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.10	3.25
	1.95	3.70	3.10
	2.00	3.60	3.25
	2.07	4.04	3.4
	1.94	4.2	3.23	Watch
	1.95	3.70	3.00
	1.95	3.90	3.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.96)	3.89 ↑ (3.81)	3.22 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moss
47.2%

Draw
23.9%

Sandnes Ulf
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

24.5%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

23.9%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sandnes Ulf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moss than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandnes Ulf than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Moss - Sandnes Ulf Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Moss will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Sandnes Ulf will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksen M. (G) 2. Cassidy M. 3. Strande K. (C) 24. Olofsson W. 16. Kvale W. 18. Marcus R. 17. Andersen P. 21. Gronli S. 20. Semmen N. 9. Aga O. 7. Laegreid J.	13. Flolid T. (G) 4. Kryger A. 5. Oregaard G. (C) 17. Nyhagen A. 26. Tricholidis A. 23. Berland E. 8. Saugestad S. 15. Nsoni Z. 10. Kostadinov K. 20. Aune J. 9. Sundgot O.
Substitutes
26. Chidi E. 4. Harrison K. 31. Harveg J. 23. Hermanstad R. 11. Jakobsen T. 32. Lovtangen F. 5. Race E. . Rylander J. 8. Vold Krohg H.	22. Arifagic D. 3. Botnen F. 14. Brekke P. 25. Debes E. 1. Falch A. (G) 28. Haruna J. 11. Sundberg M.
Coaches
Nesselquist O. M.	Cleveland A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Sundgot O. ⚽, Nyhagen A. (A),
27', Kvale W. 🟨,
43', Nyhagen A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
60', Olofsson W. 🟨,
66', Marcus R. ↓, Vold Krohg H. ↑,
66', Andersen P. ↓, Harrison K. ↑,
66', Tricholidis A. ↓, Botnen F. ↑,
69', Aune J. ↓, Sundberg M. ↑,
75', Laegreid J. 🟨,
75', Semmen N. ↓, Jakobsen T. ↑,
77', Oregaard G. 🟨,
78', 0 - 2, Sundgot O. ⚽, Berland E. (A),
84', 0 - 3, Sundberg M. ⚽, Kostadinov K. (A),
86', Sundgot O. ↓, Brekke P. ↑,
87', 0 - 4, Brekke P. ⚽, Saugestad S. (A),
88', Kostadinov K. ↓, Arifagic D. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 4, Aga O. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Olofsson W. ↓, Chidi E. ↑,
90+2', Aga O. ↓, Hermanstad R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Moss will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moss won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 2.2:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Moss won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 2.7:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Sandnes	24	7	4	13	35:45	-10	25
13	Moss	24	7	4	13	38:54	-16	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
14.06.26	Sogndal - Moss	2:4 ✺
30.05.26	Moss - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
25.05.26	Haugesund - Moss	3:1 ✺
20.05.26	Moss - Strømsgodset	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Odd - Moss	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WTLTW
- Sandnes Ulf
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
14.06.26	Sandnes Ulf - Strømmen	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Ranheim - Sandnes Ulf	5:1 ✺
25.05.26	Sandnes Ulf - Sogndal	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Åsane - Sandnes Ulf	2:0 ✺
15.05.26	Sandnes Ulf - Egersund	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.09.24	Moss - Sandnes Ulf	6:1
04.05.24	Sandnes Ulf - Moss	3:3
13.08.23	Sandnes Ulf - Moss	2:0
07.05.23	Moss - Sandnes Ulf	1:0
Norwegian NM Cup
22.09.21	Moss - Sandnes Ulf	1:7

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