Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 11

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Fosshaugane Campus (Sogndal)

Referee: Bodding A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Norway	TV2 Play


	Sogndal		Moss

	1	X	2
	2.00	4.00	3.00
	2.00	3.80	3.00
	2.00	3.75	3.15
	2.09	4.09	3.39
	1.91	4.16	3.34	Watch
	1.95	3.90	2.88
	1.98	3.78	3.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.16)	3.93 ↑ (3.74)	3.15 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sogndal
46.8%

Draw
23.7%

Moss
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

24.8%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

24.1%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sogndal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Moss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moss than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Sogndal - Moss Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sogndal will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Moss will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jendal L. (G) 32. Oren M. 4. Hovland E. 5. Granheim S. A. 23. Barkarson A. 18. Hagen V. 10. Skaanes K. 6. Hoyland M. 16. Vapne L. 9. Hintsa O. 7. Pedersen S. (C)	1. Eriksen M. (G) 2. Cassidy M. 3. Strande K. (C) 5. Race E. 16. Kvale W. 18. Marcus R. 14. Musbaudeen J. 21. Gronli S. 20. Semmen N. 9. Aga O. 7. Laegreid J.
Substitutes
36. Aroy M. 20. Asp P. 24. Bieszczad K. (G) 2. Bras D. 39. Flo E. 15. Helen O. 35. Hillestad E. L. 33. Madsen J. 38. Sundal A. (G)	17. Andersen P. 26. Chidi E. 4. Harrison K. 23. Hermanstad R. 11. Jakobsen T. 24. Olofsson W. 27. Prestmo S. 30. Skott-Grande M. (G) 8. Vold Krohg H.
Coaches
Pimenta L.	Nesselquist O. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
17', 1 - 0, Hintsa O. ⚽, Skaanes K. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Laegreid J. ⚽, Aga O. (A),
25', 2 - 1, Hintsa O. ⚽, Skaanes K. (A),
29', 2 - 2, Aga O. ⚽,
35', 2 - 3, Semmen N. ⚽, Musbaudeen J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Oren M. ↓, Bras D. ↑,
46', Hovland E. ↓, Hillestad E. L. ↑,
55', Marcus R. ↓, Prestmo S. ↑,
56', Musbaudeen J. 🟨,
62', Cassidy M. 🟨,
66', Hagen V. ↓, Helen O. ↑,
69', Gronli S. ↓, Vold Krohg H. ↑,
69', Aga O. 🟨,
69', Aga O. ↓, Jakobsen T. ↑,
76', 2 - 4, Vold Krohg H. ⚽, Laegreid J. (A),
78', Hoyland M. ↓, Asp P. ↑,
78', Vapne L. ↓, Flo E. ↑,
80', Semmen N. ↓, Olofsson W. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sogndal won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Moss may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sogndal will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sogndal won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sogndal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Moss	24	7	4	13	38:54	-16	25
14	Sogndal	23	6	5	12	38:53	-15	23

Last Results with these Odds

Sogndal - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.79%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.05.26	Strømmen - Sogndal	2:3 ✺
25.05.26	Sandnes Ulf - Sogndal	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Sogndal - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Hødd - Sogndal	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Sogndal - Haugesund	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLTTW
- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.05.26	Moss - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
25.05.26	Haugesund - Moss	3:1 ✺
20.05.26	Moss - Strømsgodset	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Odd - Moss	2:3 ✺
10.05.26	Moss - Bryne	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.08.25	Sogndal - Moss	3:1
30.07.25	Moss - Sogndal	3:1
19.08.24	Moss - Sogndal	3:0
20.04.24	Sogndal - Moss	1:0
07.10.23	Sogndal - Moss	2:1
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Sogndal - Moss	2:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.04.23	Moss - Sogndal	1:2

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