The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mostaganem 15.2%
Draw 27.9%
MC Alger 56.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.5%
32.6%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.1%
30.9%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mostaganem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mostaganem's form might have worsened.
MC Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting MC Alger's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mostaganem than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mostaganem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for MC Alger than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for MC Alger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Mostaganem - MC Alger Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Mostaganem will win (votes: 2 - 20%). MC Alger will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for MC Alger: 29.6% โ 90.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. MC Alger (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hannane A. (G) 6. Benamara A. 4. Benamar B. 19. Bibi A. A. B. 2. Boualleg A. 10. El Moudene A. 21. Gaagaa A. 9. Haroun A. 7. Motrani Z. 33. Slimane A. 12. Zeffane M.
26. Guendouz A. (G) 5. Abdellaoui A. (C) 18. Bangoura M. 28. Benhaoua O. 6. Benkhemassa M. 8. Ferhat Z. 20. Halaimia M. 3. Khelif M. 27. Menezla A. 21. Tabti L. 12. Zougrana M.
Substitutes
40. Aziria M. 14. Bengrina M. 38. Bin Mahdi A. 28. Namani A. 11. Othmani A. 42. Ramadan R. 26. Sryer B. 20. Toumi M.
10. Bangoura A. 7. Bayazid S. 25. Bouguerra A. 17. Boukholda C. 2. Dendaoui R. 29. Messoussa A. 24. Naidji Z. 1. Ramdane A. (G) 33. Satta A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', 🟨,
23', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
47', 0 - 1, Khelif M. ⚽,
56', 0 - 2, Bangoura M. ⚽,
70', 0 - 3, Menezla A. ⚽,
73', 0 - 4, Bangoura M. ⚽,
79', 🟨,
88', 0 - 5, Bangoura M. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
In this match, MC Alger is the team to beat.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mostaganem won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, Mostaganem won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.