The best margin for this event is 13.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Motala 39.4%
Draw 25.6%
Herrestads 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.7%
26%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
26.1%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Herrestads has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motala than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herrestads than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 11th and 6th).
Recent results have been tough for Motala (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Herrestad shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Herrestad may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Motala has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:8 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Motala against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Herrestads AIF
24
10
7
7
44:42
2
37
10
Motala
24
6
8
10
35:38
-3
26
Last Results with these Odds
Motala - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 38.72%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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