The best margin for this event is 12.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Motala 37.4%
Draw 25.4%
Grebbestad 37.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.3%
26%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34%
25%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Grebbestad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motala than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grebbestad than the current prediction. (+3%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
36', 1 - 0, Ali K. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Book R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 1 - 2, Hogblom S. ⚽,
61', 1 - 3, Henriksson A. ⚽,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 9th and 6th).
Motala has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Grebbestad has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Motala has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 10:8 (averaging 2.5:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Motala against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 8:5 goals (averaging 4:2.5 per game).
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