Match Info

Date: 29 August 2020, Saturday


	Motala		Karlskrona

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.5	4.75
	1.53	4.25	4.5
	1.53	4.1	5
	1.52	4.1	4.8
	1.55	4.26	5.11
	1.53	4	5.25
	1.55	4.25	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.42)	4.21 ↓ (4.5)	4.89 ↓ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motala
59.6%

Draw
21.7%

Karlskrona
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

20.1%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.8%

16.7%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Karlskrona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motala than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Motala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlskrona than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karlskrona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Motala - Karlskrona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Division 1 to Norra (Promotion to Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Motala is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karlskrona is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Karlskrona have a series of home games.

In this match Motala is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motala AIF FK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
22.08.20	Qviding - Motala	0:0 ✺
16.08.20	Motala - Tvååker	1:1 ✺
12.08.20	Oskarshamn - Motala	1:2 ✺
08.08.20	Motala - Torn	2:2 ✺
19.07.20	Lunds - Motala	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 TTWTW
- FK Karlskrona
Swedish Division 1 Södra
22.08.20	Skövde AIK - Karlskrona	2:0 ✺
15.08.20	Karlskrona - Trollhättan	4:5 ✺
12.08.20	Karlskrona - Lunds	1:1 ✺
08.08.20	Karlskrona - Eskilsminne	2:2 ✺
18.07.20	Karlskrona - Lindome	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTTL

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