Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 10

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday


	Motala		Vänersborgs IF

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.95	5.7
	1.41	4.65	5.4
	1.45	4.51	5.64	Watch
	1.4	4	6
	1.38	4.65	6.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.63)	4.55 ↑ (4.13)	5.78 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motala
64.4%

Draw
19.9%

Vänersborgs IF
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

22.2%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

21.3%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motala's performance.

Vänersborgs IF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vänersborgs IF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motala than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Motala that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vänersborgs IF than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vänersborgs IF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Motala - Vänersborgs IF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Motala has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vänersborgs IF is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vänersborgs IF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Motala is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Motala won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Motala won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Motala	24	6	8	10	35:38	-3	26
14	Vanersborgs IF ✔	24	2	3	19	24:69	-45	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motala AIF FK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
23.05.26	Grebbestad - Motala	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Stenungsunds - Motala	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Motala - IFK Skövde	0:4 ✺
01.05.26	Lidkoping - Motala	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Motala - Ahlafors	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLWW
- Vänersborgs IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
22.05.26	Vänersborgs IF - Husqvarna	0:4 ✺
15.05.26	IFK Skövde - Vänersborgs IF	6:2 ✺
08.05.26	Vänersborgs IF - Lidkoping	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Vänersborgs FK - Vänersborgs IF	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Vänersborgs IF - Skara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
28.09.25	Motala - Vänersborgs IF	4:2
18.05.25	Vänersborgs IF - Motala	3:0
10.08.24	Motala - Vänersborgs IF	2:1
13.04.24	Vänersborgs IF - Motala	1:0

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