Match Info

SWPL 1 Women - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: K-Park Training Academy (East Kilbride)


	Motherwell		Partick Thistle

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.32	3.69
	2.01	3.27	3.61	Watch
	1.74	3.7	4.21
	2.42	3.64	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.42)	3.48 ↓ (3.64)	3.48 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motherwell
46.2%

Draw
26.9%

Partick Thistle
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

24.9%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

24.1%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motherwell's performance.

Partick Thistle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Partick Thistle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Motherwell that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Partick Thistle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Motherwell - Partick Thistle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Boyce C. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 1 - 1, Bates M. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone SWPL 1 Women (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone SWPL 1 Women (Relegation Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 0.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Motherwell won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 2.3:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motherwell Women
Scottish SWPL 1 Women
14.09.25	Hearts - Motherwell	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Motherwell - Hamilton Academical	4:1 ✺
31.08.25	Glasgow Rangers - Motherwell	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Motherwell - Montrose	1:4 ✺
17.08.25	Glasgow City - Motherwell	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Partick Thistle Women
Scottish SWPL 1 Women
14.09.25	Partick Thistle - Glasgow Rangers	1:4 ✺
07.09.25	Aberdeen - Partick Thistle	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Partick Thistle - Celtic	0:7 ✺
22.08.25	Partick Thistle - Hibernian	0:5 ✺
17.08.25	Hamilton Academical - Partick Thistle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish SWPL 1 Women
17.11.24	Partick Thistle - Motherwell	1:1
08.09.24	Motherwell - Partick Thistle	0:4
26.11.23	Motherwell - Partick Thistle	2:4
10.09.23	Partick Thistle - Motherwell	1:0
09.12.22	Motherwell - Partick Thistle	1:1
02.11.22	Partick Thistle - Motherwell	1:0
27.03.22	Motherwell - Partick Thistle	3:3

Motherwell - Partick Thistle: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide