Match Info

Date: 22 October 2020, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Moto Club de São Luís		Santos AP

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Moto Club de São Luís
58.9%

Draw
22.9%

Santos AP
18.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.2%

23.4%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

20.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moto Club de São Luís has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Santos AP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moto Club de São Luís than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moto Club de São Luís that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos AP than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santos AP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Both teams are now playing unstable.

Moto Club could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Moto Club is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Moto Club won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Moto Club won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moto Club de São Luís
Brazilian Serie D
17.10.20	Santos AP - Moto Club de São Luís	2:2 ✺
14.10.20	Moto Club de São Luís - São Raimundo PR	1:1 ✺
11.10.20	SE Juventude - Moto Club de São Luís	4:1 ✺
08.10.20	Moto Club de São Luís - Sinop	3:0 ✺
03.10.20	Moto Club de São Luís - Ríver PI	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTLWW
- Santos AP
Brazilian Serie D
17.10.20	Santos AP - Moto Club de São Luís	2:2 ✺
14.10.20	Ríver PI - Santos AP	3:1 ✺
10.10.20	Santos AP - Baré	3:0 ✺
04.10.20	São Raimundo PR - Santos AP	2:0 ✺
30.09.20	Sinop - Santos AP	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TLWLW

Brazilian Serie D
17.10.20	Santos AP - Moto Club de São Luís	2:2
17.07.16	Moto Club de São Luís - Santos AP	4:0

Moto Club de São Luís - Santos AP