Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 34

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Motril		Atlético Porcuna

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.15	7.3
	1.90	2.45	6.81	Watch
	1.36	4	8.5
	1.34	4.05	9.05
	1.39	4.1	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.32)	3.75 ↓ (4)	7.77 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motril
63.2%

Draw
24.8%

Atlético Porcuna
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

21.7%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

20.5%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Atlético Porcuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motril than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Motril, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Motril - Atlético Porcuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Rodriguez L. E. M. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Boris ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 2 - 1, Boris ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motril won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Atlético Porcuna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Motril is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Motril won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Motril won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Motril	5	3	2	0	8:4	4	11
10	Atletico de Porcuna	5	2	0	3	6:14	-8	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Motril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
26.04.26	Torre Del Mar - Motril	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Motril - Martos	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	El Palo - Motril	5:0 ✺
05.04.26	Motril - Mijas-Las Lagunas	2:2 ✺
29.03.26	UD San Pedro - Motril	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL
- Atlético Porcuna
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
19.04.26	Atlético Porcuna - UD San Pedro	2:3 ✺
12.04.26	Alhaurino - Atlético Porcuna	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Atlético Porcuna - Torredonjimeno	3:1 ✺
01.04.26	Atlético Porcuna - Mancha Real	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Granada B - Atlético Porcuna	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
11.01.26	Atlético Porcuna - Motril	1:0
04.05.25	Atlético Porcuna - Motril	0:1
04.01.25	Motril - Atlético Porcuna	1:4
19.02.23	Motril - Atlético Porcuna	2:0
23.10.22	Atlético Porcuna - Motril	0:2
30.01.22	Motril - Atlético Porcuna	2:0
09.10.21	Atlético Porcuna - Motril	0:4

Motril - Atlético Porcuna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide