The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Motril 71.3%
Draw 18.6%
Atlético Porcuna 10.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.2%
21.3%
12.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motril has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motril's performance.
Atlético Porcuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Motril - Atlético Porcuna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+7', 🟥,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Playoffs and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motril won 3.
Motril holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Motril has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:7 (averaging 1.7:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Motril against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:5 goals (averaging 1.8:1.3 per game).