Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Motril		UD San Pedro

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.65	8.5
	1.07	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.26	4.65	10.8
	1.31	4.6	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.36)	3.73 ↓ (4.6)	7.28 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motril
66.7%

Draw
22%

UD San Pedro
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

19.8%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

18.9%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

UD San Pedro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motril than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Pedro than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Motril - UD San Pedro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Almagro D. ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, ⚽,
41', 2 - 2, Ortega A. ⚽,
44', 3 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 3 - 3, ⚽,
85', 🟥,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 15).

Motril is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

San Pedro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Motril is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Motril will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Motril won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Motril won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Motril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
09.11.25	Marbellí - Motril	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Motril - Alhaurino	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Mancha Real - Motril	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Motril - Torredonjimeno	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Arenas Armilla - Motril	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWTW
- UD San Pedro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
09.11.25	Alhaurino - UD San Pedro	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	UD San Pedro - Torredonjimeno	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Granada B - UD San Pedro	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Huétor Tájar - UD San Pedro	5:1 ✺
04.10.25	UD San Pedro - Melilla B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
24.04.22	Motril - UD San Pedro	4:0
19.12.21	UD San Pedro - Motril	0:1
01.11.18	Motril - UD San Pedro	1:3

Motril - UD San Pedro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide