Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 9

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Popondetta Park (Sydney)


	Mt Druitt Town Rangers		Sydney Olympic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	4.2	1.55
	4	4	1.67	Watch
	4.24	4.14	1.7	Watch
	3.87	4.29	1.73	Watch
	4	4	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (3.07)	4.13 ↑ (3.8)	1.66 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mt Druitt Town Rangers
22.1%

Draw
22.4%

Sydney Olympic
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

23.8%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

22.9%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mt Druitt Town Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mt Druitt Town Rangers's form might have worsened.

Sydney Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sydney Olympic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mt Druitt Town Rangers than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mt Druitt Town Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Olympic than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sydney Olympic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sydney Olympic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Ruiz-Diaz D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
69', 0 - 2, Vakis M. ⚽,
80', 0 - 3, Armson J. ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 4, Zoricich Z. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mt Druitt Rangers won 1.

Mt Druitt Rangers is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sydney Olympic is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sydney Olympic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sydney Olympic is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Mt Druitt Rangers won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:21 (average 1.6:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Mt Druitt Rangers won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:12 (average 1.6:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mt Druitt Town Rangers
Australian NPL NSW
30.03.25	Sydney FC U23 - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - St. George City	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Central Coast Mariners U23	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Manly United - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	5:0 ✺
01.03.25	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Rockdale Ilinden	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLTLL
- Sydney Olympic
Australian NPL NSW
22.03.25	Sydney Olympic - Sydney FC U23	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Blacktown City - Sydney Olympic	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Marconi Stallions - Sydney Olympic	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Sutherland Sharks - Sydney Olympic	1:5 ✺
22.02.25	Sydney Olympic - Wollongong Wolves	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
22.07.23	Sydney Olympic - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	3:3
06.04.23	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sydney Olympic	1:1
22.07.22	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sydney Olympic	2:3
07.05.22	Sydney Olympic - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	4:0
20.06.21	Sydney Olympic - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	0:1
03.04.21	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sydney Olympic	2:1
10.10.20	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sydney Olympic	1:1

Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sydney Olympic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide