The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Muleño 19%
Draw 27.1%
Mazarrón 53.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.3%
26.9%
53.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.1%
26.6%
54.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muleño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Mazarrón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muleño than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazarrón than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Muleño - Mazarrón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).
Recent performances by Muleño have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Mazarrón is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Muleño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Mazarrón is considered a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muleño won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.4:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Muleño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).