Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Municipal Limeño		Isidro Metapán

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.90	2.55
	2.62	2.85	2.62
	2.73	3.1	2.61
	2.79	3	2.64	Watch
	2.65	2.85	2.55
	2.67	2.89	2.55
	2.6	2.85	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.25)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)	2.59 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal Limeño
34%

Draw
31%

Isidro Metapán
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.9%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

29.9%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Limeño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Municipal Limeño's form might have worsened.

Isidro Metapán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Limeño than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Municipal Limeño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Isidro Metapán than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Municipal Limeño - Isidro Metapán Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Isidro Metapán (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Isidro Metapán (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Argueta J. C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 2 - 0, Ferman J. ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, Machado G. ⚽,
85', 3 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Municipal Limeño won 1.

In recent matches, Municipal Limeño has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Isidro Metapán is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Municipal Limeño won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Municipal Limeño won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Metapan	13	8	2	3	20:12	8	26
7	Municipal Limeno	14	5	2	7	19:19	0	17

Last Results with these Odds

Municipal Limeño - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.76%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Municipal Limeño
El Salvador Primera Division
22.08.26	Cacahuatique - Municipal Limeño	1:3 ✺
14.08.26	Municipal Limeño - Inter Santa Tecla	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Municipal Limeño	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Municipal Limeño - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	1:1 ✺
29.07.26	Municipal Limeño - INCA-Aruba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLTW
- AD Isidro Metapán
El Salvador Primera Division
22.08.26	Isidro Metapán - Alianza San Miguel	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Isidro Metapán	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Isidro Metapán - Águila	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Atlético Balboa - Isidro Metapán	0:0 ✺
30.07.26	Isidro Metapán - CD FAS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
21.03.26	Isidro Metapán - Municipal Limeño	1:0
25.01.26	Municipal Limeño - Isidro Metapán	0:0
27.09.25	Isidro Metapán - Municipal Limeño	3:2
28.08.25	Municipal Limeño - Isidro Metapán	1:2
10.05.25	Isidro Metapán - Municipal Limeño	1:2
07.05.25	Municipal Limeño - Isidro Metapán	2:1
26.03.25	Isidro Metapán - Municipal Limeño	0:0

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