Match Info

Date: 21 July 2021, Wednesday


	Mura		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.33	3.3	1.87
	4.5	3.4	1.85	Watch
	4.2	3.25	1.84
	4.44	3.49	1.91
	4.33	3.2	1.8	Watch
	4.45	3.42	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↑ (3.72)	3.34 ↑ (3.24)	1.85 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mura
21.4%

Draw
28%

Ludogorets Razgrad
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

28.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

22.3%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mura than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ludogorets Razgrad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	4.3%	90.4%

Mura - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: Ludogorets Razgrad will win (189 of 209 users predict this - 90.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.44% – 94.42%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Mura 05 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ludogorets is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ludogorets could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ludogorets is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NS Mura
Slovenian PrvaLiga
17.07.21	Mura - Tabor Sežana	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.07.21	Mura - Shkendija Tetovo	5:0 ✺
06.07.21	Shkendija Tetovo - Mura	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.21	Rostov - Mura	4:0 ✺
30.06.21	Mura - Vojvodina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWLT
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Super Cup
17.07.21	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA Sofia	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.07.21	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:1 ✺
07.07.21	Ludogorets Razgrad - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.06.21	LASK Linz - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:3 ✺
23.06.21	Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWL

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