The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 15.4%
Draw 24.5%
Ludogorets Razgrad 60.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16%
24.5%
59.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14%
28%
68%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ludogorets Razgrad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
1. Milosavljevic B. (G) 2. Cova A. 23. Ruskov M. 13. Lucas Ryan 21. Espinoza E. 22. Ivanov I. 12. Ali E. 94. Itu C. 39. Umarbaev P. 99. Lamy J. 14. Iliev D. (C)
1. Padt S. (C) 55. Nachmias I. 15. Kurtulus E. 4. Almeida D. 17. Son 30. Pedro Naressi 37. Tekpetey B. 18. Chochev I. 26. Kaloc F. 11. Caio Vidal 10. Machado M.
Substitutes
11. Andreev P. 33. Atanasov M. 4. Chindris A. 7. Markov I. 44. Nikolaev N. 9. Perea J. 10. Touma G. 19. Velev A. 40. Zovko P. (G)
2. Andersson J. 29. Bile E. 39. Bonmann H. (G) 23. Duarte D. 77. Erick Marcus 99. Ivanov S. 42. Shishkov S. 14. Stanic P. 24. Verdon O.
Coaches
Kosic D.
Mota R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Itu C. ⚽, Umarbaev P. (A),
22', Cova A. 🟨,
32', Caio Vidal 🟨,
33', Lucas Ryan 🟨,
44', Ivanov I. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Itu C. ↓, Touma G. ↑,
46', Tekpetey B. ↓, Bile E. ↑,
46', Pedro Naressi ↓, Erick Marcus ↑,
58', Lucas Ryan ↓, Chindris A. ↑,
65', Son ↓, Stanic P. ↑,
65', Chochev I. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
73', Iliev D. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
73', Ali E. ↓, Atanasov M. ↑,
80', Nachmias I. ↓, Andersson J. ↑,
83', Lamy J. ↓, Andreev P. ↑,
90+1', Atanasov M. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Stanic P. ⚽, Kurtulus E. (A),
90+12', Kurtulus E. 🟨,
90+12', Milosavljevic B. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Ludogorets has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Ludogorets may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Ludogorets is the obvious favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:40. (average 0.9:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).
Bulgaria
Croatia
Watch
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Milosavljevic B. (G) 
Cova A. 
Ruskov M. 
Lucas Ryan 
Espinoza E. 
Itu C. 
Umarbaev P. 
Lamy J. 
Padt S. (C) 
Nachmias I. 
Kurtulus E. 
Almeida D. 
Son 
Tekpetey B. 
Kaloc F. 
Perea J. 
Zovko P. (G) 
Bile E. 
Bonmann H. (G) 
Duarte D. 
Stanic P. 
Verdon O. 
Kosic D. 
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