Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Murense		Constancia

	1	X	2
	6.1	3.1	1.5
	6.4	3.05	1.5
	6.58	3.04	1.49
	6.9	3.2	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.5 ↓ (6.58)	3.1 ↑ (3.04)	1.52 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murense
13.6%

Draw
28.4%

Constancia
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.2%

28.6%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.5%

22.8%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Constancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murense than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Constancia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Murense - Constancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Constancia is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Murense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
12.10.21	Inter Ibiza - Murense	2:1 ✺
09.10.21	Murense - Campos	1:0 ✺
18.09.21	Murense - Son Verí	1:1 ✺
04.09.21	Platges de Calvià - Murense	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.08.21	Andratx - Murense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWTTL
- Constancia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
12.10.21	Constancia - Platges de Calvià	0:0 ✺
09.10.21	Sant Rafel - Constancia	1:2 ✺
02.10.21	PE Sant Jordi - Constancia	1:0 ✺
25.09.21	Constancia - Sóller	2:1 ✺
18.09.21	Poblense - Constancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWLWT

Murense - Constancia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide