Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 11

Date: 15 November 2024, Friday


	Poblense		Constancia

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.33
	1.71	3.4	4.5
	1.68	3.26	4.66
	1.69	3.41	4.93	Watch
	1.69	3.38	4.73
	1.71	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)	3.38 ↓ (3.5)	4.61 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poblense
53.5%

Draw
26.8%

Constancia
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

25.9%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poblense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Constancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Poblense - Constancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Alarcon M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 🟥,
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Poblense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
09.11.24	Poblense - Porreres	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Binissalem - Poblense	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.24	Poblense - Villarreal	1:6 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
26.10.24	Poblense - Portmany	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Manacor - Poblense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWW
- Constancia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
09.11.24	Collerense - Constancia	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	Penya Independent - Constancia	3:1 ✺
18.10.24	Constancia - Platges de Calvià	2:2 ✺
13.10.24	Constancia - Llosetense	3:0 ✺
06.10.24	Porreres - Constancia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
04.04.24	Poblense - Constancia	3:0
18.11.23	Constancia - Poblense	0:1
02.04.23	Poblense - Constancia	1:0
03.12.22	Constancia - Poblense	1:1
16.01.22	Constancia - Poblense	0:3
18.09.21	Poblense - Constancia	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
06.01.18	Poblense - Constancia	4:2

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