Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Spring Season - Round 11

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Viktor Losev Stadion (Murom)


	Murom		Dynamo Kirov

	1	X	2
	4.56	4.05	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↓ (5.99)	4.05 ↑ (3.48)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murom
20%

Draw
22.5%

Dynamo Kirov
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

26.1%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

25.2%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Dynamo Kirov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murom than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Murom that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kirov than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Murom - Dynamo Kirov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Aysin M. (G) 55. Bukshtan D. 68. Gerchikov L. 7. Giraev K. 11. Kopylov D. 15. Matsukatov A. 50. Nikiforov M. 17. Pershin Y. 81. Roshchin K. 3. Shcheglov A. 46. Vasiljev V.	96. Mironov A. (G) 23. Bochko N. 4. Bogdaev M. 8. Cherkes E. 17. Lovtsov G. 93. Nagovitsin D. 5. Omarov M. 95. Radzhabov A. 22. Sharov S. 47. Solodarenko V. 10. Usov D.
Substitutes
71. Egurnev A. 27. Esin V. 77. Evloev I. 10. Komissarov G. 19. Kuznetsov L. 51. Mankov A. (G) 9. Pertsev V. 90. Sagitov A. 1. Sedov E. (G) 72. Teplyakov V.	97. Eremeev D. (G) 7. Goryushkin A. 71. Knyazev E. 52. Krylov I. 3. Pasko A. 99. Shmarov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Gerchikov L. ⚽,
41', Omarov M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Omarov M. 🟨,
56', Radzhabov A. ↓, Krylov I. ↑,
64', Cherkes E. ↓, Goryushkin A. ↑,
65', Lovtsov G. ↓, Knyazev E. ↑,
69', Matsukatov A. ↓, Evloev I. ↑,
69', Roshchin K. ↓, Egurnev A. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Goryushkin A. ⚽,
86', Vasiljev V. ↓, Esin V. ↑,
88', Kopylov D. ↓, Komissarov G. ↑,
88', Pershin Y. ↓, Sagitov A. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Giraev K. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Fall Season: )).

Murom has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dynamo Kirov has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Dynamo Kirov is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Murom won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Murom
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
26.04.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Murom	5:0 ✺
21.04.25	Murom - Irtysh Omsk	0:2 ✺
16.04.25	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Murom	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Murom - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Dynamo Vladivostok - Murom	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLT
- FC Dynamo Kirov
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
26.04.25	Dynamo Kirov - Kaluga	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Dynamo Kirov - Forte Taganrog	1:0 ✺
16.04.25	Irtysh Omsk - Dynamo Kirov	4:0 ✺
12.04.25	Dynamo Kirov - Dynamo 2 Moscow	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Dynamo Kirov	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
15.03.25	Dynamo Kirov - Murom	1:0

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