Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Fall Season - Round 11

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Viktor Losev Stadion (Murom)


	Murom		Irtysh Omsk

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3
	2.35	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.32)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	2.95 (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murom
39.8%

Draw
28.9%

Irtysh Omsk
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

29.5%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

29.3%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Irtysh Omsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Murom aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irtysh Omsk than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Murom - Irtysh Omsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Natabashvili G. (G) 76. Ageev A. 67. Erokhin K. 77. Gubiev E. 7. Guseinov R. 56. Ivakhnov M. 20. Khalnazarov R. 42. Kirillov Y. 17. Nasyrov I. 4. Samuel A. 8. Sedov M.	16. Savin A. (G) 89. Dorofeev N. 9. Kozhukhar I. 18. Krylov I. 8. Maleev A. 44. Sadykov B. 6. Saraev K. 25. Solovyov A. 19. Ustinov V. 59. Yanchenko V. 10. Yanushkovskiy R.
Substitutes
11. Ilyin S. 40. Ivashin A. 36. Kondramashin B. 71. Nechaev A. 81. Roshchin K. 99. Rozhkov N. 1. Sedov E. (G)	49. Bykov V. 12. Kazantsev D. 11. Kopylov D. 93. Markin M. 60. Poletaev V. (G) 24. Shokhin K. 23. Zhustjev N. 15. Zhustyev M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Sedov M. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Yanushkovskiy R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sedov M. ↓, Ilyin S. ↑,
46', Khalnazarov R. ↓, Rozhkov N. ↑,
56', Yanchenko V. ↓, Kopylov D. ↑,
56', Ageev A. ↓, Ivashin A. ↑,
65', Dorofeev N. ↓, Kazantsev D. ↑,
65', Maleev A. ↓, Shokhin K. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Ilyin S. ⚽,
74', 1 - 2, Ustinov V. ⚽,
78', Ilyin S. 🟨,
80', Yanushkovskiy R. ↓, Markin M. ↑,
86', Savin A. 🟨,
88', Natabashvili G. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Relegation) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murom won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Murom won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Murom won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Murom
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
21.09.25	Kuban Krasnodar - Murom	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Murom - Dynamo Vladivostok	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Kaluga - Murom	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Murom - Avangard Kursk	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Murom - Rodina Moscow 2	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLLWW
- FC Irtysh Omsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
21.09.25	Irtysh Omsk - Rodina Moscow 2	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Kuban Krasnodar - Irtysh Omsk	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Dynamo Vladivostok - Irtysh Omsk	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Irtysh Omsk - Torpedo Miass	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Avangard Kursk - Irtysh Omsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
16.08.25	Irtysh Omsk - Murom	0:0
07.06.25	Irtysh Omsk - Murom	0:2
21.04.25	Murom - Irtysh Omsk	0:2
16.11.24	Irtysh Omsk - Murom	1:1
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
23.09.23	Irtysh Omsk - Murom	0:0
30.07.23	Murom - Irtysh Omsk	0:3

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