FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Fall Season - Round 12
Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday
Location: Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina (Moscow)
Rodina Moscow 2
Murom
1
X
2
1.78
3.41
4.41
1.7
3.4
4
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.74 ↓ (1.81)
3.41 ↑ (3.32)
4.21 ↑ (4.08)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rodina Moscow 2 52%
Draw 26.5%
Murom 21.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.3%
27.4%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
26.2%
21.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodina Moscow 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Murom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 2 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murom than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Rodina Moscow 2 - Murom Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
58. Ladokha D. (G) 82. Alekhin A. 44. Baranov P. 24. Biryukov A. 95. Chernyshev D. 30. Danilin M. 69. Khezhev A. 92. Knyazev G. 66. Larionov E. 12. Markitesov D. 70. Samko V.
31. Natabashvili G. (G) 67. Erokhin K. 77. Gubiev E. 7. Guseinov R. 11. Ilyin S. 20. Khalnazarov R. 3. Khodeev P. 17. Nasyrov I. 71. Nechaev A. 4. Samuel A. 21. Teterlev E.
Substitutes
93. Antonov I. 89. Maltsev R. 31. Shakerov R. (G) 79. Svintsov D.
76. Ageev A. 56. Ivakhnov M. 40. Ivashin A. 81. Roshchin K. 99. Rozhkov N. 1. Sedov E. (G) 8. Sedov M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Knyazev G. ↓, Svintsov D. ↑,
38', Gubiev E. ↓, Ivakhnov M. ↑,
39', 1 - 0, Svintsov D. ⚽,
43', Teterlev E. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Nechaev A. ↓, Rozhkov N. ↑,
46', Khalnazarov R. ↓, Sedov M. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Danilin M. ⚽,
56', 3 - 0, Svintsov D. ⚽,
58', Erokhin K. ↓, Ageev A. ↑,
61', Markitesov D. ↓, Maltsev R. ↑,
65', Biryukov A. ↓, Antonov I. ↑,
84', 4 - 0, Antonov I. ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: ) and 7 in the zone FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Relegation)).
In recent matches, Rodina 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Murom's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Rodina 2 is considered a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodina 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.8:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Rodina 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Rodina Moscow 2 - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.28%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Ladokha D. (G) 
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