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Current Win Probability
Murom 33.5%
Draw 31.3%
Rodina Moscow 2 35.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.5%
31.2%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.8%
31.5%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Murom have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Rodina Moscow 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murom than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow 2 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Murom - Rodina Moscow 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Natabashvili G. (G) 67. Erokhin K. 77. Gubiev E. 11. Ilyin S. 40. Ivashin A. 42. Kirillov Y. 5. Okhrimenko E. 99. Rozhkov N. 4. Samuel A. 8. Sedov M. 21. Teterlev E.
31. Shakerov R. (G) 82. Alekhin A. 93. Antonov I. 95. Chernyshev D. 30. Danilin M. 69. Khezhev A. 92. Knyazev G. 11. Kozhedub S. 66. Larionov E. 12. Markitesov D. 76. Pridava N.
Substitutes
76. Ageev A. 15. Dryaev A. 56. Ivakhnov M. 20. Khalnazarov R. 10. Knyazev D. 36. Kondramashin B. 93. Milyutin V. 81. Roshchin K. 1. Sedov E. (G)
14. Andreev A. 44. Baranov P. 25. Basyrov S. 24. Biryukov A. 57. Kopylov R. 58. Ladokha D. (G) 89. Maltsev R. 74. Mushkarin D. 98. Pavlov N. (G) 70. Samko V. 79. Svintsov D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Rozhkov N. ⚽,
11', Danilin M. 🟨,
12', Okhrimenko E. ↓, Ageev A. ↑,
41', 2 - 0, Erokhin K. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Danilin M. ↓, Svintsov D. ↑,
46', Markitesov D. ↓, Maltsev R. ↑,
46', Antonov I. ↓, Biryukov A. ↑,
46', Ilyin S. ↓, Khalnazarov R. ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Sedov M. ⚽,
60', Kozhedub S. ↓, Samko V. ↑,
69', Gubiev E. 🟨,
73', Kirillov Y. ↓, Ivakhnov M. ↑,
74', 🟨,
79', Svintsov D. 🟨,
82', 4 - 0, Rozhkov N. ⚽,
85', Teterlev E. ↓, Roshchin K. ↑,
90+2', 5 - 0, Khalnazarov R. (Pen),
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: ))
Murom has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rodina 2 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Murom may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Murom won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Murom won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
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Natabashvili G. (G) 
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