Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Fall Season - Round 1

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Trudovye Rezervy Stadium (Kursk)


	Avangard Kursk		Rodina Moscow 2

	1	X	2
	5.23	3.44	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.23 ↓ (5.26)	3.44 ↓ (3.5)	1.62 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avangard Kursk
17.4%

Draw
26.4%

Rodina Moscow 2
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

26.6%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

23.2%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avangard Kursk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Rodina Moscow 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow 2 than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rodina Moscow 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Tashaev R. (G) 7. Balashov K. 3. Cheremisin D. 11. Ignatenko V. 88. Khvat N. 78. Kumsarov D. 4. Mamkin I. 25. Nekrasov A. 45. Sedov D. 96. Senik D. 10. Slobodchikov M.	31. Shakerov R. (G) 44. Baranov P. 24. Biryukov A. 95. Chernyshev D. 69. Khezhev A. 92. Knyazev G. 57. Kopylov R. 11. Kozhedub S. 66. Larionov E. 12. Markitesov D. 76. Pridava N.
Substitutes
1. Artemov N. (G) 18. Balitsky E. 9. Beskorovaynyi D. 17. Kamenev D. 57. Konshin D. 67. Kozyrev V.	82. Alekhin A. 93. Antonov I. 25. Basyrov S. 22. Beskibalniy A. 39. Kamyshenko A. 74. Mushkarin D. 98. Pavlov N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', Cheremisin D. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Biryukov A. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Larionov E. ⚽,
30', Sedov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Balashov K. ↓, Kozyrev V. ↑,
46', Nekrasov A. ↓, Beskorovaynyi D. ↑,
46', Cheremisin D. ↓, Konshin D. ↑,
55', Kopylov R. ↓, Antonov I. ↑,
70', Slobodchikov M. ↓, Balitsky E. ↑,
77', Khvat N. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Rodina 2 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Avangard Kursk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Avangard Kursk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avangard Kursk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
15.06.25	Avangard Kursk - Irtysh Omsk	3:0 ✺
07.06.25	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Avangard Kursk	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Avangard Kursk - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	0:2 ✺
25.05.25	Dynamo Vladivostok - Avangard Kursk	2:1 ✺
21.05.25	Avangard Kursk - Kaluga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL
- Rodina Moscow 2
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
14.06.25	Rodina Moscow 2 - Volgar Astrakhan	1:2 ✺
08.06.25	Kuban Krasnodar - Rodina Moscow 2	3:2 ✺
01.06.25	Torpedo Miass - Rodina Moscow 2	0:1 ✺
28.05.25	Rodina Moscow 2 - Leningradets	2:2 ✺
24.05.25	Chelyabinsk - Rodina Moscow 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
16.09.23	Rodina Moscow 2 - Avangard Kursk	1:0
22.07.23	Avangard Kursk - Rodina Moscow 2	4:0
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
15.10.22	Avangard Kursk - Rodina Moscow 2	1:1
14.08.22	Rodina Moscow 2 - Avangard Kursk	1:2

Avangard Kursk - Rodina Moscow 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide