Match Info

Date: 30 May 2021, Sunday


	Murom		Smolensk

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	3.6
	1.9	3.25	3.6
	1.87	3.15	3.6
	1.92	3.33	3.73
	1.94	3.26	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.97)	3.26 ↓ (3.3)	3.66 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murom
47.5%

Draw
27.8%

Smolensk
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

27.9%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

19.2%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Smolensk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murom than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Murom that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smolensk than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Smolensk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Murom - Smolensk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 13 and 12).

Murom is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Smolensk is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Murom will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Murom won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Murom
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
23.05.21	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Murom	1:0 ✺
18.05.21	Murom - Leningradets	0:1 ✺
11.05.21	Murom - Zvezda St. Petersburg	2:2 ✺
29.04.21	Torpedo Vladimir - Murom	1:0 ✺
23.04.21	Rodina Moscow - Murom	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLT
- FC Smolensk
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
23.05.21	Smolensk - Volga Tver	1:0 ✺
18.05.21	Olimp Dolgoprudny - Smolensk	2:0 ✺
08.05.21	Chita - Smolensk	2:1 ✺
29.04.21	Smolensk - Kolomna	1:0 ✺
24.04.21	Znamya Truda - Smolensk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 2
01.11.20	Smolensk - Murom	2:1

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