Match Info

Date: 23 May 2021, Sunday


	Smolensk		Volga Tver

	1	X	2
	5.5	4	1.48
	5.9	4.2	1.42
	5.8	3.9	1.43
	6.06	4.3	1.42
	5.95	4.1	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.84 ↑ (4.09)	4.1 ↑ (3.87)	1.45 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smolensk
15.5%

Draw
22%

Volga Tver
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

23.7%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

15.3%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smolensk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Smolensk's form might have worsened.

Volga Tver has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Volga Tver's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smolensk than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Smolensk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Tver than the current prediction. (-27.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Volga Tver, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Smolensk - Volga Tver Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 4).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Smolensk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Volga Tver is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Smolensk
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
18.05.21	Olimp Dolgoprudny - Smolensk	2:0 ✺
08.05.21	Chita - Smolensk	2:1 ✺
29.04.21	Smolensk - Kolomna	1:0 ✺
24.04.21	Znamya Truda - Smolensk	0:1 ✺
17.04.21	Smolensk - Rodina Moscow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWWL
- FC Volga Tver
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
18.05.21	Volga Tver - Luki-Energiya	3:0 ✺
11.05.21	Leningradets - Volga Tver	1:0 ✺
06.05.21	Volga Tver - Dynamo 2 Moscow	2:1 ✺
29.04.21	Volga Tver - Zenit 2	0:1 ✺
24.04.21	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Volga Tver	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLT

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