Match Info

Premier League

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday


	Musanze		Gorilla

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.78	3.5
	2.18	2.84	3.63	Watch
	2.2	2.7	3.4
	2.22	2.89	3.51	Watch
	2.14	2.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.16)	2.8 ↓ (2.87)	3.51 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Musanze
41.7%

Draw
32.4%

Gorilla
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

31.6%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

30.3%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Musanze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Gorilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Musanze than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorilla than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Musanze - Gorilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Musanze won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Musanze may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Musanze is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Musanze won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Musanze won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Musanze FC
Rwanda Premier League
24.12.25	Al-Merreikh - Musanze	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Musanze - Muhanga	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Musanze - Etincelles	1:3 ✺
05.12.25	Rayon Sports - Musanze	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Police - Musanze	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLLT
- Gorilla FC
Rwanda Premier League
24.12.25	Gorilla - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman	0:3 ✺
19.12.25	Gorilla - Rayon Sports	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Gorilla - APR	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Rutsiro - Gorilla	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Al-Merreikh - Gorilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
16.02.25	Gorilla - Musanze	1:0
21.12.24	Musanze - Gorilla	1:0
21.04.24	Gorilla - Musanze	1:0
02.12.23	Musanze - Gorilla	0:1
12.03.23	Musanze - Gorilla	1:0
12.10.22	Gorilla - Musanze	0:2
14.03.22	Gorilla - Musanze	3:2

Musanze - Gorilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide